Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 7.814710 8.612061 9.479369 10.496861 11.662945 12.963602 14.532547
2026-01-25 6.609291 7.636862 8.827658 10.323136 12.170292 14.402723 17.344718
2026-02-01 5.886339 7.019542 8.390124 10.194734 12.546252 15.561504 19.813470
2026-02-08 5.339714 6.524791 8.006734 10.032794 12.790330 16.504985 22.056616
2026-02-15 4.890126 6.095227 7.644051 9.829088 12.915014 17.253719 24.081960
2026-02-22 4.573784 5.803434 7.423422 9.775591 13.213951 18.248412 26.579544
2026-03-01 4.211042 5.417910 7.039048 9.447270 13.066464 18.544557 27.998003
2026-03-08 3.852417 5.011768 6.593511 8.987072 12.666767 18.391985 28.628022
2026-03-15 3.626814 4.774082 6.365513 8.822075 12.692810 18.900513 30.447679
2026-03-22 3.684965 4.936671 6.716818 9.549035 14.184490 21.980499 37.434662
2026-03-29 3.594169 4.877259 6.735774 9.759907 14.853408 23.738485 42.257553
2026-04-05 3.399308 4.653425 6.492924 9.532992 14.756916 24.108348 44.318389
2026-04-12 3.317989 4.598892 6.511572 9.743952 15.462244 26.096152 50.363361
2026-04-19 3.155923 4.413738 6.316492 9.585132 15.493504 26.800084 53.703788
2026-04-26 3.017254 4.256540 6.154984 9.468679 15.586912 27.634155 57.543627
2026-05-03 2.883296 4.099543 5.984053 9.321694 15.605723 28.313111 61.159280
2026-05-10 2.751752 3.939860 5.799588 9.136700 15.531829 28.782671 64.343625
2026-05-17 2.656867 3.833513 5.696261 9.088099 15.719156 29.846197 69.449302
2026-05-24 2.520478 3.654897 5.463987 8.789644 15.376902 29.671183 70.936215
2026-05-31 2.369874 3.447829 5.175212 8.370793 14.755807 28.783280 70.091961
2026-06-07 2.277720 3.332095 5.035491 8.220470 14.679071 29.170562 73.339533
2026-06-14 2.334251 3.460984 5.317830 8.882184 16.381399 34.130910 93.299169
2026-06-21 2.306314 3.448387 5.354149 9.073848 17.087301 36.728725 106.294075